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Guizhou Guiyang vs Guangdong Mingtu

China China

League Two Guiyang Olympic Sports Center, Guiyang
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Chen Xiangyu
23'
Sub
Hu Mingtian In: Cai Zhuohao
Out: Hu Mingtian
39'
Ma Chongchong

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guizhou Guiyang and Guangdong Mingtu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guizhou Guiyang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guizhou Guiyang
39%
Draws
31%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guizhou Guiyang come out ahead of Guangdong Mingtu on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 68%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guizhou Guiyang Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Guizhou Guiyang
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Guizhou Guiyang
3:2
Apr 4, 2025 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Guangdong Mingtu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guizhou Guiyang Compare

Top Goalscorer Chen Long
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guizhou Guiyang 41 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guizhou Guiyang Guangdong Mingtu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guizhou Guiyang's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Guangdong Mingtu has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guizhou Guiyang stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guizhou Guiyang VS Guangdong Mingtu
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guizhou Guiyang

(Home)
25 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
3 : 0
Ganzhou Ruishi
19 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 1
Guizhou Guiyang
05 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
27 Jun
Hubei Istar
2 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
23 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
Page 1 of 6

Guangdong Mingtu

(Away)
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
11 Jul
Guangdong Mingtu
2 : 2
Shenzhen 2028
04 Jul
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Guangdong Mingtu
27 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
23 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B18113426:1536
2Shanghai Port B17104331:1334
3Dalian Kewei1888216:832
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1793524:1530
5Taian Tiankuang1784520:1628
6Dalian Yingbo B1749415:1621
7Qingdao Red Lions1738614:1617
8Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1621047:1216
9Nantong Haimen1729616:1815
10Changchun Xidu172969:2115
11Shanghai Second1827918:3213
12Beijing Technology1516811:259
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang17111526:1334
2Shenzhen 20281896330:2233
3Hubei Istar1786326:1830
4Ganzhou Ruishi1867517:1825
5Xiamen Feilu1767425:1925
6Jiangxi Lushan1774620:1625
7Hangzhou Linping1859418:2424
8Guangzhou Dandelion1855818:2320
9Guangdong Mingtu1739517:1918
10Wenzhou Professional1737711:1916
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1736810:1815
12Wuhan Three Towns B1717910:1910
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)