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Guizhou Guiyang vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Guiyang Olympic Sports Center, Guiyang
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guizhou Guiyang host Shanxi Chongde Ronghai in the League Two. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Guizhou Guiyang at 1.27 goals for, 0.97 against; Shanxi Chongde Ronghai at 1.33 for, 0.77 against. Past meetings favor Shanxi Chongde Ronghai slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.81, favoring Shanxi Chongde Ronghai. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guizhou Guiyang
20%
Draws
57%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shanxi Chongde Ronghai lately — more wins on the board than Guizhou Guiyang.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 20%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guizhou Guiyang Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Guiyang
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guizhou Guiyang 32 / 100
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guizhou Guiyang Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guizhou Guiyang scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guizhou Guiyang stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guizhou Guiyang VS Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guizhou Guiyang

(Home)
17 Oct
Dalian Kewei
2 : 1
Guizhou Guiyang
11 Oct
Shandong Taishan B
1 : 1
Guizhou Guiyang
06 Oct
Guizhou Guiyang
2 : 1
Shanghai Port B
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
12 Sept
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
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Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

(Away)
17 Oct
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
12 Oct
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
2 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
06 Oct
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shanghai Port B 27 15 5 7 42:22 50
2 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 27 15 5 7 33:19 50
3 Dalian Kewei 27 12 12 3 28:17 48
4 Shandong Taishan B 27 13 8 6 37:24 47
5 Guizhou Guiyang 27 14 4 9 36:23 46
6 Shenzhen 2028 27 11 8 8 39:30 41
7 Jiangxi Lushan 27 11 6 10 28:24 39
8 Hangzhou Linping 27 8 14 5 27:32 38
Promotion - League One 2027 (Main)