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Guizhou Guiyang vs Shenzhen 2028 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Guiyang Olympic Sports Center, Guiyang
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Jinghang Z. In: Luo Wenqi
Out: Jinghang Z.
46'
Sub
Hu Mingtian In: Kong Yinquan
Out: Hu Mingtian
53' Event
Liu Yujie

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guizhou Guiyang and Shenzhen 2028 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guizhou Guiyang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guizhou Guiyang
35%
Draws
32%
Shenzhen 2028
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Guizhou Guiyang carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Shenzhen 2028 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Guizhou Guiyang Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen 2028 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guizhou Guiyang Shenzhen 2028
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Shenzhen 2028
1:0
May 9, 2026 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guizhou Guiyang
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 League Two
Guizhou Guiyang vs Shenzhen 2028
0:1
May 16, 2025 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guizhou Guiyang
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guizhou Guiyang Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Yujie
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Shenzhen 2028 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guizhou Guiyang 41 / 100
Shenzhen 2028 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guizhou Guiyang Shenzhen 2028

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guizhou Guiyang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guizhou Guiyang found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Shenzhen 2028's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Guizhou Guiyang has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guizhou Guiyang VS Shenzhen 2028
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guizhou Guiyang

(Home)
06 Oct
Guizhou Guiyang
2 : 1
Shanghai Port B
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
12 Sept
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
23 Aug
Guangzhou Dandelion
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
16 Aug
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng B
Page 1 of 6

Shenzhen 2028

(Away)
06 Oct
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 2
Shandong Taishan B
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1
Hubei Istar
16 Aug
Wenzhou Professional
1 : 1
Shenzhen 2028
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)