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Guria vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guria
6%
Draws
4%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guria have won more games recently than Bakhmaro Chokhatauri.
  • Model gives Guria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 2.63 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.5 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2024 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Guria
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0:0
Sep 14, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0:0
Apr 21, 2023 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Guria
2:1
Sep 1, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Guria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Bakhmaro Chokhatauri has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guria scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2.63 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
20 May
Guria
6 : 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
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Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

(Away)
05 Dec
WIT Georgia
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
28 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0 : 2
Shturmi
21 Nov
Dusheti
4 : 1
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
13 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2 : 4
Margveti 2006
06 Nov
Didube
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dusheti30215466:2168
2Shturmi30215467:2768
3FC Rustavi30194763:3161
4FC Tbilisi 202530193854:3560
5Meshakhte Tkibuli301510549:2455
6Orbi301551056:4150
7Iberia 1999 230129945:2645
8Gori301341346:4843
9Guria301161344:5539
10Locomotive Tbilisi 2301051550:4235
11Borjomi301121750:7835
12Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30961547:4733
13Zestafoni306111333:4629
14Matchakhela30822038:8126
15FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II304101630:5822
16Chikhura Sachkhere30212723:1017
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)