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Guria vs Betlemi Keda Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Guria and Betlemi Keda finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Guria
15%
Draws
14%
Betlemi Keda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of Betlemi Keda on wins alone.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Betlemi Keda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.58 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Guria
0:5
Apr 2, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Betlemi Keda
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Betlemi Keda
0:2
Apr 11, 2024 Liga 3
Betlemi Keda vs Guria
0:0
Apr 17, 2019 Georgian Cup
Betlemi Keda vs Guria
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Betlemi Keda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Betlemi Keda has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Guria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guria scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Betlemi Keda
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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Betlemi Keda

(Away)
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)