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Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Kapanadze T.
59' Event
Kapanadze T.

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Guria
20%
Draws
28%
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Guria have won more games recently than Dinamo Tbilisi 2.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guria Clean Sheet 15%
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Dinamo Tbilisi 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.67 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Liga 3
Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 vs Guria
1:2
Oct 17, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Dinamo Tbilisi 2
0:2
May 22, 2022 Liga 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 vs Guria
1:1
Apr 14, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 vs Guria
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapanadze T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Dinamo Tbilisi 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 84 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Dinamo Tbilisi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tbilisi 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Guria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Guria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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Dinamo Tbilisi 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
2 : 1
Gonio
03 Sept
Iberia 1999 2
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
27 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
20 Aug
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 5
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)