Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guria vs Dusheti

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Kokosadze L.
75' Event
Amoako D.
90' Event
Bzekalava T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Guria
15%
Draws
18%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guria come out ahead of Dusheti on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Guria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dusheti, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dusheti here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Dusheti
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 20 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.69 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Georgian Cup
Guria vs Dusheti
1:2
Dec 1, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Guria
4:1
Aug 24, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Dusheti
0:1
Dec 1, 2022 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Guria
3:1
Jul 10, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Dusheti
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokosadze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dusheti Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoako D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bzekalava T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Dusheti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Guria found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Dusheti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Dusheti
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5
Guria
Page 1 of 7

Dusheti

(Away)
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
26 Aug
Gagra
1 : 0
Dusheti
22 Aug
Dusheti
1 : 0
Gori
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Samtredia -
FC Rustavi -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -