Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guria vs Dusheti

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Georgian Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Dusheti have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Guria have conceded 0.75 and scored 3.38. Past meetings favor Dusheti slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2023, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 0.88) point toward Dusheti. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guria
6%
Draws
4%
Dusheti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dusheti come out ahead of Guria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Dusheti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dusheti, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dusheti here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guria Clean Sheet 20%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guria Dusheti
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 3.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Guria
4:1
Aug 24, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Dusheti
0:1
Dec 1, 2022 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Guria
3:1
Jul 10, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Dusheti
1:3
Oct 21, 2021 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Guria
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100
Dusheti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guria Dusheti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dusheti conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Guria's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Dusheti
3.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1
Merani Tbilisi
21 Jun
Didube
1 : 2
Guria
15 Jun
Guria
5 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
28 May
Orbi
1 : 2
Guria
Page 1 of 6

Dusheti

(Away)
25 Jul
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 1
Dusheti
17 Jul
Dusheti
4 : 3
Urartu
25 Jun
Zooveti Tbilisi
0 : 2
Dusheti
22 Jun
Telavi
1 : 0
Dusheti
17 Jun
Dusheti
3 : 2
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Orbi1
Dinamo Batumi4
Margveti 20061
Iberia 19993
Kolkheti 19130
Dusheti1
Dinamo Tbilisi 21
Spaeri5
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Basa0
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Gori1
Bolnisi0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi0
Dila Gori1
Iberia 1999 20
Telavi0
Merani Martvili0
Odishi 19191
Guria0
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Samtredia-
Shturmi-
WIT Georgia1
Samgurali0
Iveria Khashuri-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
FC Tbilisi 2025-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe-
Gagra-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gori-
Dila Gori-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-