Sport Picks
Guria vs FC Tbilisi 2025 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 
AI Match Summary
Guria host FC Tbilisi 2025 in the Liga 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Guria have averaged 2.8 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against FC Tbilisi 2025's 2.34 scored and 0.72 conceded. Head-to-head, Guria have won 0 to FC Tbilisi 2025's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward FC Tbilisi 2025. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guria carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Guria a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guria | FC Tbilisi 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.8 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guria's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Guria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: FC Tbilisi 2025 conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guria
(Home)FC Tbilisi 2025
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 67:11 | 54 |
| 2 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 57:14 | 52 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 37:19 | 42 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 38 |
| 7 | Orbi | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 39:28 | 35 |
| 8 | Didube | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:31 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:33 | 32 |
| 10 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 31 |
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | 30 |
| 12 | Khobi | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 31:46 | 24 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19:56 | 16 |
| 14 | Betlemi Keda | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15:55 | 16 |
| 15 | Iveria Khashuri | 23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24:48 | 14 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19:58 | 11 |
