Sport Picks

Georgia

Liga 3 2023

Guria

2 - 1

Orbi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Guria

Draws

Orbi

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Orbi have won more games recently than Guria.
90% — that's where the model lands on Guria taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Guria Clean Sheet 20%

Orbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guria	Orbi
Matches Played	32	39
Wins	16	21
Draws	4	9
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	3.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	3.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Liga 3

Orbi vs Guria

1:2

Nov 14, 2024 Liga 3

Guria vs Orbi

0:4

May 23, 2024 Liga 3

Orbi vs Guria

4:1

Oct 5, 2023 Liga 3

Guria vs Orbi

2:1

May 9, 2023 Liga 3

Orbi vs Guria

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guria 85 / 100

Orbi 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guria Orbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Guria went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Orbi conceded in 64% of 39 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Guria scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guria VS Orbi

3.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guria

(Home)

26 Jun

Guria

6 : 1

Merani Tbilisi

21 Jun

Didube

1 : 2

Guria

15 Jun

Guria

5 : 2

Iveria Khashuri

28 May

Orbi

1 : 2

Guria

20 May

Guria

6 : 0

FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi

Page 1 of 7

Orbi

(Away)

24 Jun

FC Rustavi 2

2 : 3

Orbi

21 Jun

Merani Tbilisi

1 : 1

Orbi

15 Jun

Orbi

1 : 3

Didube

28 May

Orbi

1 : 2

Guria

21 May

WIT Georgia

0 : 1

Orbi

Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dusheti	30	21	5	4	66:21	68
2	Shturmi	30	21	5	4	67:27	68
3	FC Rustavi	30	19	4	7	63:31	61
4	FC Tbilisi 2025	30	19	3	8	54:35	60
5	Meshakhte Tkibuli	30	15	10	5	49:24	55
6	Orbi	30	15	5	10	56:41	50
7	Iberia 1999 2	30	12	9	9	45:26	45
8	Gori	30	13	4	13	46:48	43
9	Guria	30	11	6	13	44:55	39
10	Locomotive Tbilisi 2	30	10	5	15	50:42	35
11	Borjomi	30	11	2	17	50:78	35
12	Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	30	9	6	15	47:47	33
13	Zestafoni	30	6	11	13	33:46	29
14	Matchakhela	30	8	2	20	38:81	26
15	FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II	30	4	10	16	30:58	22
16	Chikhura Sachkhere	30	2	1	27	23:101	7

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