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Gurupi vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gurupi
44%
Draws
20%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguaina lately — more wins on the board than Gurupi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Araguaina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Gurupi
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Araguaina
1:1
Feb 20, 2024 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Gurupi
2:1
May 26, 2018 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Araguaina
0:0
Apr 14, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Gurupi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 36 / 100
Araguaina 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gurupi scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Araguaina let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gurupi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Araguaina
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto1257017:722
2Tocantinopolis1263319:1421
3Palmas1255218:1120
4Gurupi1254323:1019
5SD Sparta1243518:1715
6Araguaina1236313:1315
7Paraiso EC1200120:360
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)