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Gurupi vs CA Tocantinense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Gurupi Logo

Gurupi

3 - 2
FT
CA Tocantinense Logo

CA Tocantinense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gurupi in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gurupi
30%
Draws
29%
CA Tocantinense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Gurupi have won more games recently than CA Tocantinense.
  • Model gives Gurupi a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
CA Tocantinense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi CA Tocantinense
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 10 5
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2005 Tocantinense
CA Tocantinense vs Gurupi
2:2
Apr 17, 2005 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs CA Tocantinense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 67 / 100
CA Tocantinense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi CA Tocantinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gurupi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Tocantinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 18 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Gurupi found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Gurupi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gurupi

(Home)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
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CA Tocantinense

(Away)
21 May
CA Tocantinense
2 : 2
Gurupi
15 May
Tocantinopolis
3 : 0
CA Tocantinense
11 May
Palmas
3 : 1
CA Tocantinense
07 May
Miracema EC
3 : 4
CA Tocantinense
05 May
Paraiso EC
1 : 1
CA Tocantinense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)