Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gurupi vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gurupi in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gurupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Gurupi
22%
Draws
18%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Paraiso EC haven't matched Gurupi's recent run of results.
  • Gurupi are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 18%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi Paraiso EC
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 14 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.67
Goals Conceded 1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Gurupi
0:3
Mar 31, 2018 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 8, 2017 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Paraiso EC
0:1
Mar 21, 2017 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Gurupi
0:0
Jun 4, 2016 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs Paraiso EC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 58 / 100
Paraiso EC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi Paraiso EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Gurupi found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Gurupi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS Paraiso EC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis1475219:1226
2Interporto1465325:2323
3Palmas1471623:1722
4Gurupi1463519:1521
5Paraiso EC1455419:1620
6Araguaina1453618:2118
7Tocantins1442823:3314
8Guarai SC1432920:2911