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Gurupi vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
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AI Match Summary

SD Sparta in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gurupi
33%
Draws
27%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gurupi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Sparta have won more games recently than Gurupi.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gurupi taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gurupi SD Sparta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2018 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs SD Sparta
1:2
Apr 3, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Gurupi
3:3
Apr 29, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Gurupi
1:1
Apr 22, 2017 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs SD Sparta
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gurupi 40 / 100
SD Sparta 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gurupi SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Gurupi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

SD Sparta let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gurupi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gurupi VS SD Sparta
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis2
Interporto2
Gurupi1
SD Sparta5
Final
Interporto4
SD Sparta0