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Gute vs Korsnas

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Hiding O.
90' Event
Ahl Holmstrom A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gute
20%
Draws
38%
Korsnas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korsnas lately — more wins on the board than Gute.
  • Model gives Gute a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Gute Clean Sheet 19%
Korsnas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gute Korsnas
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Gute vs Korsnas
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Gute vs Korsnas
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Korsnas vs Gute
2:4
Jul 30, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Gute vs Korsnas
5:0
Apr 2, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Korsnas vs Gute
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gute Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahl Holmstrom A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Korsnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Hiding O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gute 42 / 100
Korsnas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gute Korsnas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Korsnas conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Gute's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Away concern: Korsnas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gute VS Korsnas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sunnersta AIF1494137:1031
2Skiljebo1484231:1628
3Falu BS1484222:1128
4Angby1484224:1528
5Taby FK1483325:1327
6Enskede1473423:1724
7IK Franke1453626:2318
8Bollstanas1446426:2518
9Gute1445517:2217
10Viggbyholms1433812:2812
11Lidingo IFK1425716:2611
12Kungsangen1417615:2410
13Korsnas1423914:309
14Helges IF1412118:365