Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio General Gutierrez

Ciudad Bolivar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gutierrez Mendoza play Ciudad Bolivar in the Torneo Federal 2025. Ciudad Bolivar are favorites here. Recently, Gutierrez Mendoza averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Ciudad Bolivar averaged 1.12 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Gutierrez Mendoza won 1, Ciudad Bolivar won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 22, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.72 for Gutierrez Mendoza and 0.86 for Ciudad Bolivar. This points to a Ciudad Bolivar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

Gutierrez Mendoza

30%

Draws

58%

Ciudad Bolivar

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Gutierrez Mendoza picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad Bolivar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.72 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Gutierrez Mendoza Clean Sheet 25%

Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gutierrez Mendoza	Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	2	14
Draws	4	12
Losses	24	8
Goals Scored	0.6	1.12
Goals Conceded	2.03	0.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Torneo Federal

Gutierrez Mendoza vs Ciudad Bolivar

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Apr 18, 2025 Torneo Federal

Ciudad Bolivar vs Gutierrez Mendoza

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

4:0

Aug 17, 2024 Torneo Federal

Gutierrez Mendoza vs Ciudad Bolivar

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

May 19, 2024 Torneo Federal

Gutierrez Mendoza vs Ciudad Bolivar

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Mar 23, 2024 Torneo Federal

Ciudad Bolivar vs Gutierrez Mendoza

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gutierrez Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gutierrez Mendoza 16 / 100

Ciudad Bolivar 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gutierrez Mendoza Ciudad Bolivar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Bolivar Win (2)

Secondary Pick Ciudad Bolivar & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +200%

25.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gutierrez Mendoza attacking → ← attacking Ciudad Bolivar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gutierrez Mendoza scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Ciudad Bolivar let in goals in 50% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Gutierrez Mendoza went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad Bolivar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 54

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	18	13	1	4	31:13	40
2	Villa Mitre	18	10	5	3	22:9	35
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	18	7	5	6	19:15	26
4	Deportivo Rincon	18	8	2	8	22:20	26
5	Kimberley	18	7	5	6	17:13	26
6	Circulo Deportivo	18	7	2	9	17:21	23
7	Guillermo Brown	18	6	3	9	19:29	21
8	Santamarina	18	4	8	6	18:22	20
9	Sol de Mayo	18	4	5	9	16:27	17
10	Germinal	18	4	4	10	16:28	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ciudad Bolivar	16	9	4	3	24:9	31
2	Costa Brava	16	8	6	2	17:7	30
3	Biblioteca Atenas	16	8	1	7	17:14	25
4	Argentino MM	16	6	5	5	15:16	23
5	San Martin Mendoza	16	6	3	7	19:19	21
6	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	3	7	15:20	21
7	Juventud U.U.	16	4	8	4	14:13	20
8	Sportivo Estudiantes	16	4	6	6	13:14	18
9	Gutierrez Mendoza	16	2	2	12	12:34	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	9	2	17:14	30
2	Douglas Haig	18	7	8	3	18:12	29
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	6	5	19:12	27
4	Independiente Chivilcoy	18	6	8	4	16:13	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	20:20	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	7	6	20:19	22
7	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	18	4	8	6	9:14	20
8	Gimnasia E.R.	18	5	5	8	14:20	20
9	El Linqueno	18	4	7	7	16:20	19
10	Ben Hur	18	4	6	8	15:20	18

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	10	2	4	21:11	32
2	San Martin Formosa	16	8	7	1	29:9	31
3	Atl. Rafaela	16	7	5	4	19:15	26
4	Juventud Antoniana	16	6	5	5	19:15	23
5	Bartolome Mitre	16	5	6	5	15:14	21
6	Sol de America	16	5	5	6	21:19	20
7	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	4	6	6	12:22	18
8	Boca Unidos	16	2	6	8	16:27	12
9	Crucero del Norte	16	2	4	10	10:30	10