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Guyana vs Bahamas

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Wells N.
32'
Sub
Sawyer W. In: Bain O.
Out: Sawyer W.
39' Event
Julmis P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Guyana and Bahamas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guyana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guyana
6%
Draws
4%
Bahamas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guyana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guyana come out ahead of Bahamas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guyana a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Guyana have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Guyana Clean Sheet 68%
Bahamas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guyana Bahamas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Bahamas vs Guyana
0:0
Sep 12, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guyana vs Bahamas
3:2
Mar 30, 2021 World Championship
Guyana vs Bahamas
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guyana Compare

Top Goalscorer Glasgow O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duke-McKenna S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bahamas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guyana 95 / 100
Bahamas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guyana Bahamas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahamas let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Guyana remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Bahamas has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guyana found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Guyana VS Bahamas
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guyana

(Home)
30 Mar
Guyana
3 : 1
Belize
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0
Dominica
18 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
1 : 4
Guyana
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0
Montserrat
Page 1 of 7

Bahamas

(Away)
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
26 Mar
Bahamas
1 : 3
Anguilla
15 Nov
Bahamas
0 : 6
British Virgin Islands
12 Nov
Bahamas
1 : 2
Anguilla
07 Jun
Bahamas
0 : 8
Costa Rica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guadeloupe650116:315
2Saint Lucia631210:610
3Sint Maarten62046:156
4Saint Kitts and Nevis61144:124
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nicaragua651017:116
2Dominican Republic631214:610
3Montserrat63039:149
4Barbados60067:260
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1French Guiana631210:610
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines630313:149
3Bermuda62228:98
4Belize62135:77
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana550020:515
2Puerto Rico640222:1012
3Antigua and Barbuda61149:224
4Bahamas50147:211
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)