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Guyana vs Dominica

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Mayagüez Athletics Stadium, Mayagüez
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guyana host Dominica in the CONCACAF Nations League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Guyana at 2.14 goals for, 1.45 against; Dominica at 1.3 for, 1.56 against. Past meetings favor Guyana slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.63, favoring Guyana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Guyana
20%
Draws
20%
Dominica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guyana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Guyana have won more games recently than Dominica.
  • Guyana are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guyana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guyana Clean Sheet 20%
Dominica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guyana Dominica
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.14 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Guyana vs Dominica
2:0
Sep 3, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Dominica vs Guyana
0:0
Aug 8, 2008 Caribbean Cup
Guyana vs Dominica
3:0
Oct 2, 2005 Friendly International
Guyana vs Dominica
3:0
Sep 30, 2005 Friendly International
Guyana vs Dominica
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guyana 58 / 100
Dominica 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guyana Dominica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guyana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guyana went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guyana scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Dominica conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guyana VS Dominica
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guyana

(Home)
24 Sept
Puerto Rico
0 : 1
Guyana
30 Mar
Guyana
3 : 1
Belize
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0
Dominica
18 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
1 : 4
Guyana
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
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Dominica

(Away)
25 Sept
Cayman Islands
0 : 0
Dominica
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Guyana
2 : 0
Dominica
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
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