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GV San Jose vs Jorge Wilstermann

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Jesús Bermúdez
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GV San Jose play Jorge Wilstermann in the Copa Pacena. It looks like a close match. Recently, GV San Jose averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Jorge Wilstermann averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, GV San Jose won 2, Jorge Wilstermann won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 9, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for GV San Jose and 1.19 for Jorge Wilstermann. This points to a GV San Jose double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
GV San Jose
30%
Draws
26%
Jorge Wilstermann
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GV San Jose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • GV San Jose picked up more points recently compared to Jorge Wilstermann.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
GV San Jose Clean Sheet 20%
Jorge Wilstermann Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GV San Jose Jorge Wilstermann
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs GV San Jose
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 Copa Pacena
Jorge Wilstermann vs GV San Jose
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Pacena
GV San Jose vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Division Profesional
GV San Jose vs Jorge Wilstermann
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Division Profesional
Jorge Wilstermann vs GV San Jose
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GV San Jose Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterubianessi T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Jorge Wilstermann Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GV San Jose 44 / 100
Jorge Wilstermann 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GV San Jose Jorge Wilstermann

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: GV San Jose or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GV San Jose attacking → ← attacking Jorge Wilstermann

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GV San Jose scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Jorge Wilstermann let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

GV San Jose went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jorge Wilstermann lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 23
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bolivar1482434:2126
2Blooming1473428:2024
3Nacional Potosi1453622:2118
4Jorge Wilstermann1443718:2815
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Oruro1477022:1028
2Always Ready1482436:1926
3The Strongest1444627:2416
4Tomayapo1433821:4412
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GV San Jose1454526:2119
2Aurora1453624:2918
3San Antonio Bulo Bulo1452723:2417
4Academia del Balompie1432916:3111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guabira1474325:2525
2Oriente Petrolero1464424:2422
3Club Universitario de Vinto1454522:2019
4Independiente1450919:2615