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Gwangju FC vs Cheonan City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

Korean Cup Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Choi Kyoung-Rok

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gwangju FC
35%
Draws
30%
Cheonan City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cheonan City come out ahead of Gwangju FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gwangju FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Cheonan City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gwangju FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 19%
Cheonan City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Cheonan City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Korean Cup
Gwangju FC vs Cheonan City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi Kyoung-Rok
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cheonan City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 49 / 100
Cheonan City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Cheonan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwangju FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cheonan City conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Gwangju FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gwangju FC found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Cheonan City
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6

Cheonan City

(Away)
10 Oct
Cheonan City
1 : 0
Gyeongnam
19 Sept
Chungnam Asan
3 : 1
Cheonan City
13 Sept
Suwon FC
1 : 1
Cheonan City
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
28 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Cheonan City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Jeonnam -
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Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
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Jincheon -
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Siheung Citizen -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen -
TBD -
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Chuncheon -
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Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
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Cheonan City -
TBD -
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Yangsan United 1
Anseong Citizen 2
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Mokpo -
Pohang -
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Busan Kyotong -
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Gijang United -
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Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
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Jinju Citizen -
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Sejong SA -
Seosan Pioneer -
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Gyeongju KHNP -
TBD -
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Cheongju -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
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Hwaseong -
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Yeonsu Songdo 0
Ulsan FC 4
TBD -
Yangpyeong -
Pyeongtaek Citizen -
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Yeoju Citizen -
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Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
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Haman -
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Dangjin Citizen -
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju -
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Seoul Jungnang -
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Gimpo FC -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
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Suwon FC -
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Cheongju Showking 3
Yangcheon TNT 9
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Pyeongchang United -
Gangwon -
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Changwon -
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Geumsan Insam -
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Gimhae -
Seongnam -
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Daejeon Korail -
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Pocheon -
Busan -
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Incheon Seogot 2
Areum 1
TBD -
Geoje -
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
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Paju Frontier -
TBD -
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Jecheon Citizen -
TBD -
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Gangneung -
1/64-finals
Jeonnam -
TBD -
TBD -
Chungnam Asan -
Daegu -
TBD -
Jincheon 1
Siheung Citizen 2
TBD -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 2
Chuncheon 1
TBD -
Seoul E-Land -
TBD -
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Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
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Cheonan City -
TBD -
Anseong Citizen 2
Mokpo 3
Pohang -
TBD -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Gijang United 1
TBD -
Suwon Bluewings -
Ansan Greeners -
TBD -
Jinju Citizen 2
Sejong SA 1
Seosan Pioneer 0
Gyeongju KHNP 3
TBD -
Cheongju -
TBD -
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Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
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Hwaseong -
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Ulsan FC 1
Yangpyeong 5
Pyeongtaek Citizen 1
Yeoju Citizen 3
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Gyeongnam -
Yongin FC -
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Haman 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
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Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 3
Seoul Jungnang 1
TBD -
Gimpo FC -
TBD -
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Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
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Suwon FC -
TBD -
Yangcheon TNT 1
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
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Changwon 3
Geumsan Insam 0
TBD -
Gimhae -
Seongnam -
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Daejeon Korail 0
Pocheon 2
Busan -
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Incheon Seogot 0
Geoje 4
TBD -
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Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
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Paju Frontier -
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Jecheon Citizen 0
Gangneung 2
1/32-finals
Jeonnam 3
Chungnam Asan 4
Daegu 0
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
TBD -
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Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 4
Seoul E-Land 2
TBD -
Ulsan Hyundai -
Gwangju FC -
TBD -
Cheonan City 2
Mokpo 1
Pohang -
TBD -
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Busan Kyotong 2
Suwon Bluewings 1
Ansan Greeners 0
Jinju Citizen 2
Gyeongju KHNP 0
Cheongju 4
TBD -
Anyang -
Jeju SK -
TBD -
Hwaseong 4
Yangpyeong 3
Yeoju Citizen 1
Gyeongnam 0
Yongin FC 0
Dangjin Citizen 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Namyangju 1
Gimpo FC 2
TBD -
Incheon -
Gimcheon Sangmu -
TBD -
Suwon FC 3
Pyeongchang United 2
Gangwon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Changwon 1
Gimhae 5
Seongnam 2
Pocheon 1
Busan 4
Geoje 0
TBD -
Seoul -
Bucheon FC 1995 -
TBD -
Paju Frontier 3
Gangneung 2
1/16-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Siheung Citizen 1
TBD -
Daejeon -
Ulsan Citizen 1
Ulsan Hyundai 0
Gwangju FC 1
Cheonan City 0
Pohang -
TBD -
Busan Kyotong 1
Jinju Citizen 2
Cheongju 1
Anyang 3
Jeju SK 4
Hwaseong 3
Yeoju Citizen 0
Dangjin Citizen 1
TBD -
Jeonbuk -
Gimpo FC 1
Incheon 0
Gimcheon Sangmu 2
Suwon FC 1
Gangwon -
TBD -
Gimhae 0
Seongnam 1
Busan 2
Seoul 0
Bucheon FC 1995 3
Paju Frontier 0
1/8-finals
Chungnam Asan 2
Daejeon 3
Ulsan Citizen 0
Gwangju FC 1
Pohang 3
Jinju Citizen 1
Anyang 2
Jeju SK 1
Dangjin Citizen 3
Jeonbuk 2
Gimpo FC 2
Gimcheon Sangmu 1
Gangwon 1
Seongnam 0
Busan 0
Bucheon FC 1995 1
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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