Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju

Cheonan City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Korean Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cheonan City have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Gwangju FC have conceded 1.38 and scored 0.38. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.88 - 1.31) back Cheonan City to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Gwangju FC

30%

Draws

34%

Cheonan City

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gwangju FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Cheonan City come out ahead of Gwangju FC on wins alone.
Win probability leans Gwangju FC's way, sitting at 36%.
Cheonan City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 18%

Cheonan City Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gwangju FC	Cheonan City
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	6
Draws	8	10
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	0.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 36 / 100

Cheonan City 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gwangju FC Cheonan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cheonan City conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Gwangju FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Cheonan City has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gwangju FC scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Cheonan City

0.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)

22 Jul

Gwangju FC

1 : 1

Gimcheon Sangmu

19 Jul

Anyang

1 : 1

Gwangju FC

11 Jul

Gwangju FC

0 : 3

Pohang

05 Jul

Gwangju FC

1 : 1

Ulsan Hyundai

16 May

Incheon

4 : 0

Gwangju FC

Page 1 of 6

Cheonan City

(Away)

24 Jul

Seoul E-Land

4 : 3

Cheonan City

19 Jul

Cheongju

1 : 0

Cheonan City

15 Jul

Cheonan City

2 : 1

Mokpo

10 Jul

Cheonan City

0 : 1

Gimhae

05 Jul

Gyeongnam

2 : 1

Cheonan City

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

TBD-

Chuncheon-

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Yangsan United1

Anseong Citizen2

TBD-

Mokpo-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

TBD-

Gijang United-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen-

TBD-

Sejong SA-

Seosan Pioneer-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP-

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Yeonsu Songdo0

Ulsan FC4

TBD-

Yangpyeong-

Pyeongtaek Citizen-

TBD-

Yeoju Citizen-

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman-

TBD-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju-

TBD-

Seoul Jungnang-

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Cheongju Showking3

Yangcheon TNT9

TBD-

Pyeongchang United-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon-

TBD-

Geumsan Insam-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail-

TBD-

Pocheon-

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot2

Areum1

TBD-

Geoje-

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen-

TBD-

Gangneung-

1/64-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon1

Siheung Citizen2

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen2

Chuncheon1

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Anseong Citizen2

Mokpo3

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Gijang United1

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen2

Sejong SA1

Seosan Pioneer0

Gyeongju KHNP3

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Ulsan FC1

Yangpyeong5

Pyeongtaek Citizen1

Yeoju Citizen3

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju3

Seoul Jungnang1

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Yangcheon TNT1

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon3

Geumsan Insam0

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail0

Pocheon2

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot0

Geoje4

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen0

Gangneung2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam3

Chungnam Asan4

Daegu0

Siheung Citizen1

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen4

Seoul E-Land2

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City2

Mokpo1

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Suwon Bluewings1

Ansan Greeners0

Jinju Citizen2

Gyeongju KHNP0

Cheongju4

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong4

Yangpyeong3

Yeoju Citizen1

Gyeongnam0

Yongin FC0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju1

Gimpo FC2

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC3

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon1

Gimhae5

Seongnam2

Pocheon1

Busan4

Geoje0

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier3

Gangneung2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

Cheonan City-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

Jinju Citizen-

Cheongju-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

Hwaseong-

Yeoju Citizen-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Gimpo FC-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

Suwon FC-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

Busan-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

Paju Frontier-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Daejeon-

TBD-

Pohang-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Gwangju FC vs Cheonan City

South Korea

Gwangju FC

Cheonan City

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

Cheonan City

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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