Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwangju FC vs Daejeon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Diogo
Assist: Ludwigson G.
32' Event
Jeong Jae-Hee
37'
Lee Min-Ki

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Gwangju FC and Daejeon finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Daejeon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gwangju FC
22%
Draws
60%
Daejeon
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Daejeon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Daejeon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Daejeon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
0:5
Aug 17, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
2:0
Jun 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gwangju FC
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeong Jae-Hee
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diogo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 18 / 100
Daejeon 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Daejeon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daejeon has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Daejeon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gwangju FC scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Daejeon
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Gangwon1887323:1131
3Jeonbuk1885525:1629
4Ulsan Hyundai1884626:2628
5Pohang1884619:1628
6Incheon1873822:1924
7Anyang1758422:1923
8Jeju SK1865716:1823
9Daejeon1847721:2019
10Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
11Gimcheon Sangmu18210617:2516
12Gwangju FC1715118:418