Sport Picks
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Korea
K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sub
van Grunsven T. In: Ahn Young-Kyu
Out: van Grunsven T.
29'
29'
Kwon Sung-Yun
37'
37'
Sub
Ha Seung-Un In: Moon Min-seo
Out: Ha Seung-Un
AI Match Summary
The K League 1 game between Gwangju FC and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gwangju FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Gimcheon Sangmu carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Gwangju FC a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 12%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gwangju FC | Gimcheon Sangmu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 14 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Sep 6, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
2:2
Jul 22, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
1:1
Jul 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gwangju FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Iredale J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Gimcheon Sangmu Compare
Top Goalscorer Kim In-Gyun
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gwangju FC 47 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gwangju FC Gimcheon Sangmu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gwangju FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gwangju FC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Gimcheon Sangmu conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Gwangju FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gwangju FC VS Gimcheon Sangmu
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gwangju FC
(Home) 31 Oct
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
24 Oct
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 3 Gwangju FC
18 Oct
Daejeon
3 : 2 Gwangju FC
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3 Ulsan Hyundai
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3 Ulsan Hyundai
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 Jeju SK
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5 Seoul
Page 1 of 4
Gimcheon Sangmu
(Away) 31 Oct
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
24 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 2 Daejeon
18 Oct
Seoul
2 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
10 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 1 Anyang
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
18 Oct
Seoul
2 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jeju SK | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 40:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Anyang | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:49 | 46 |
| 9 | Pohang | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 31:40 | 43 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 34 | 5 | 20 | 9 | 34:42 | 35 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:49 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 31:70 | 22 |
Relegation - K League 2 2027 (Main)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation)
