Sport Picks
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Korea
K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju 
Match Events
5'
5'
Iredale J.
Assist: Moon Min-seo
7'
7'
Go Jae-Hyeon
Assist: Jung Jae-Min
38'
38'
Sub
Saitoski E. In: Ba Loua A.
Out: Saitoski E.
AI Match Summary
The K League 1 game between Gwangju FC and Gimcheon Sangmu finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimcheon Sangmu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Gwangju FC haven't matched Gimcheon Sangmu's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gwangju FC | Gimcheon Sangmu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 15 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
2:2
Jul 22, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gwangju FC
1:1
Jul 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:1
May 5, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gwangju FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Iredale J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Gimcheon Sangmu Compare
Top Goalscorer Go Jae-Hyeon
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gwangju FC 36 / 100
Gimcheon Sangmu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gwangju FC Gimcheon Sangmu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimcheon Sangmu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimcheon Sangmu has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Gwangju FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Gwangju FC found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Gwangju FC VS Gimcheon Sangmu
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gwangju FC
(Home) 20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5 Seoul
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1 Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 Jeju SK
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5 Seoul
23 Aug
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 Incheon
15 Aug
Gwangju FC
1 : 2 Pohang
Page 1 of 3
Gimcheon Sangmu
(Away) 10 Oct
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 1 Anyang
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
13 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gangwon
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2 Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 2 Gimcheon Sangmu
09 Sept
Pohang
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
22 Aug
Jeju SK
0 : 0 Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Aug
Gimpo FC
2 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seoul | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 58:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45:40 | 47 |
| 3 | Gangwon | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 38:28 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 36:31 | 46 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39:30 | 44 |
| 6 | Daejeon | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Incheon | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 8 | Anyang | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 39:47 | 41 |
| 9 | Pohang | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 31 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 30:37 | 33 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 31:42 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21:63 | 15 |
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)
