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Gwangju FC vs Incheon Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
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Match Events

22'
Joao Pedro
53'
Sub
van Grunsven T. In: Min Sang-Gi
Out: van Grunsven T.
55'
Kim Seong-Min

AI Match Summary

Incheon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Incheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Gwangju FC
35%
Draws
41%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Incheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Incheon have won more games recently than Gwangju FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Incheon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 16%
Incheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Incheon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.67 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.03 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Incheon
0:1
May 16, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Gwangju FC
4:0
Mar 7, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Incheon
3:2
Oct 27, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Gwangju FC
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Incheon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 36 / 100
Incheon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Incheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Incheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Incheon conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Gwangju FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gwangju FC scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Incheon
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5
Seoul
Page 1 of 6

Incheon

(Away)
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0
Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1
Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1
Bucheon FC 1995
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)