Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Joung Ji-hun
40' Event
Oh Jae-Hyeok
Assist: Italo
45'
van Grunsven T.

AI Match Summary

Jeju SK in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jeju SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Gwangju FC
28%
Draws
50%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jeju SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jeju SK lately — more wins on the board than Gwangju FC.
  • Model gives Jeju SK a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 16%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwangju FC Jeju SK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Jeju SK
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:1
Jun 18, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joung Ji-hun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Oh Jae-Hyeok
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kwon Gi-min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwangju FC 23 / 100
Jeju SK 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwangju FC Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Gwangju FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Gwangju FC's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gwangju FC VS Jeju SK
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwangju FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 2
Jeju SK
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
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Jeju SK

(Away)
26 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 2
Jeju SK
21 Jul
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gangwon
18 Jul
Jeju SK
2 : 1
Pohang
12 Jul
Jeju SK
0 : 0
Daejeon
05 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
1 : 1
Jeju SK
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul20133435:1742
2Jeonbuk2096527:1633
3Gangwon2088425:1432
4Ulsan Hyundai2094730:2931
5Anyang2079428:2330
6Incheon2084825:2128
7Pohang2084820:2128
8Jeju SK2076719:2027
9Daejeon2048823:2320
10Gimcheon Sangmu20311621:2820
11Bucheon FC 19952048818:2520
12Gwangju FC20171211:4510
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)