Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwardia Koszalin vs Elana Torun

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gwardia Koszalin play Elana Torun in the III Liga - Group II 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gwardia Koszalin averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Elana Torun averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Gwardia Koszalin won 2, Elana Torun won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Gwardia Koszalin and 1.55 for Elana Torun. This points to a Elana Torun double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Gwardia Koszalin
18%
Draws
44%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwardia Koszalin picked up more points recently compared to Elana Torun.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 15%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwardia Koszalin Elana Torun
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Elana Torun
0:3
Mar 11, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Elana Torun
3:2
Aug 6, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Elana Torun Compare

Top Goalscorer Rak S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwardia Koszalin 37 / 100
Elana Torun 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwardia Koszalin Elana Torun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Elana Torun or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gwardia Koszalin attacking → ← attacking Elana Torun

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwardia Koszalin scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Elana Torun let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gwardia Koszalin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Elana Torun lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 63
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stezyca21181269:1255
2Swit Szczecin21155146:1250
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol21145247:2047
4Elana Torun21106541:2036
5Starogard Gdanski21113729:2936
6Przodkowo21105636:2335
7B. Gdynia2197531:2134
8Pogon Szczecin II21104748:3934
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg2188532:2432
10Kleczew2193933:3230
11Jarocin2185843:3329
12Baltyk Koszalin2185842:3629
13Unia Janikowo2185832:3829
14Nielba Wagrowiec2175939:3726
15Pomorzanin Torun2168720:2226
16Unia Swarzedz21741031:2525
17Gwardia Koszalin21741026:3325
18Swinoujscie2167824:3525
19Gryf Wejherowo21631231:4921
20Chemik Police21231610:639
21Gornik Konin21221714:548
22KS Mieszko Gniezno2102199:762