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Gwardia Koszalin vs Gornik Konin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Rajch M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Gwardia Koszalin and Gornik Konin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Konin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gwardia Koszalin
44%
Draws
20%
Gornik Konin
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwardia Koszalin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 14%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwardia Koszalin Gornik Konin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Gornik Konin
0:1
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:1
May 2, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Gornik Konin
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Gwardia Koszalin
2:3
May 25, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwardia Koszalin 35 / 100
Gornik Konin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwardia Koszalin Gornik Konin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Konin has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Gwardia Koszalin's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Gwardia Koszalin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gwardia Koszalin VS Gornik Konin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%