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Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Gornik Zabrze II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory play Gornik Zabrze II in the III Liga - Group III 2023/2024. Gornik Zabrze II are favorites here. Recently, Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Gornik Zabrze II averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory won 0, Gornik Zabrze II won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory and 2.55 for Gornik Zabrze II. This points to a Gornik Zabrze II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
6%
Draws
90%
Gornik Zabrze II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gornik Zabrze II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gornik Zabrze II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Gornik Zabrze II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group III 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Clean Sheet 10%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Gornik Zabrze II
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0 4
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Gornik Zabrze II
0:3
Sep 13, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1:0
May 27, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Gornik Zabrze II
1:2
Oct 29, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
5:1
Jun 15, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wodecki M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory 10 / 100
Gornik Zabrze II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Gornik Zabrze II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Gornik Zabrze II let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gornik Zabrze II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gornik Zabrze II
0 Goals Scored 4
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rekord Bielsko-Biala34236584:3775
2Slask Wroclaw II342110376:3273
3Kluczbork34179855:3860
4Polkowice341681056:4956
5Pniowek Pawlowice341413759:5155
6Goczalkowice Zdroj3412111150:3847
7Gornik Zabrze II341451554:5447
8Sleza Wroclaw341291360:6245
9Stilon Gorzow341291351:4945
10Zielona Gora341271547:5743
11Carina Gubin341261648:5542
12Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341181541:5341
13Bytom Odrzanski349141139:4241
14Unia Turza Slaska341181550:5641
15Warta Gorzow349121342:5839
16Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory34891744:5833
17RKS Rakow Czestochowa II34881843:6632
18Starowice Dolne34582136:8023