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Gwelup Croatia SC vs Floreat Athena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

WA State League Croatian Sports Centre, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bardsley J.
20' Event
Bardsley J.
30' Event
Willis J.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Gwelup Croatia SC and Floreat Athena finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Gwelup Croatia SC
20%
Draws
61%
Floreat Athena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floreat Athena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Gwelup Croatia SC haven't matched Floreat Athena's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Floreat Athena a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Floreat Athena have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Floreat Athena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwelup Croatia SC Floreat Athena
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.74 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Floreat Athena
4:4
Jun 5, 2026 WA State League
Floreat Athena vs Gwelup Croatia SC
4:0
Jul 16, 2022 NPL Western Australia
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Floreat Athena
1:4
Apr 30, 2022 NPL Western Australia
Floreat Athena vs Gwelup Croatia SC
4:2
Aug 7, 2021 NPL Western Australia
Floreat Athena vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardsley J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Echeverria N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Floreat Athena Compare

Top Goalscorer Willis J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wassholm T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwelup Croatia SC 10 / 100
Floreat Athena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwelup Croatia SC Floreat Athena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floreat Athena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwelup Croatia SC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Floreat Athena let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Gwelup Croatia SC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gwelup Croatia SC VS Floreat Athena
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gwelup Croatia SC

(Home)
22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4
Floreat Athena
18 Aug
Kingsley Westside
4 : 2
Gwelup Croatia SC
15 Aug
Quinns
2 : 0
Gwelup Croatia SC
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1
Subiaco
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
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Floreat Athena

(Away)
22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4
Floreat Athena
15 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Mandurah City
08 Aug
Floreat Athena
7 : 1
Cockburn City
01 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 0
Kingsley Westside
25 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 2
Floreat Athena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floreat Athena 22 16 4 2 57:24 52
2 UWA Nedlands 22 15 2 5 48:25 47
3 Mandurah City 22 11 3 8 47:39 36
4 Joondalup City 22 11 3 8 36:32 36
5 Quinns 22 11 3 8 34:37 36
6 Inglewood Utd 22 9 6 7 26:24 33
7 Kingsley Westside 22 9 2 11 35:36 29
8 Gwelup Croatia SC 22 6 7 9 36:47 25
9 Cockburn City 22 6 5 11 34:49 23
10 Murdoch University Melville 22 5 7 10 38:46 22
11 Subiaco 22 6 2 14 36:46 20
12 Curtin University 22 3 4 15 19:41 13
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)