Sport Picks

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Gwelup Croatia SC vs Mandurah City

Australia Australia

WA State League Croatian Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Callaghan J.
38' Event
Mba J.
42' Event
Mba J.

AI Match Summary

Gwelup Croatia SC host Mandurah City in the WA State League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Gwelup Croatia SC at 0.75 goals for, 2.25 against; Mandurah City at 2.88 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Gwelup Croatia SC have won 2 to Mandurah City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.56, favoring Mandurah City. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gwelup Croatia SC
22%
Draws
60%
Mandurah City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mandurah City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mandurah City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gwelup Croatia SC.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Mandurah City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in WA State League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwelup Croatia SC Mandurah City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Mandurah City
5:2
Jun 21, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Mandurah City
4:2
Aug 17, 2024 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Mandurah City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mba J.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrante R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mandurah City Compare

Top Goalscorer Callaghan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwelup Croatia SC 18 / 100
Mandurah City 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwelup Croatia SC Mandurah City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwelup Croatia SC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Mandurah City let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Gwelup Croatia SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mandurah City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gwelup Croatia SC VS Mandurah City
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena16113238:1636
2UWA Nedlands16112338:1935
3Mandurah City1692538:2829
4Joondalup City1691628:2328
5Kingsley Westside1681726:2225
6Inglewood Utd1673614:1724
7Quinns1663721:3121
8Cockburn City1654728:3319
9Gwelup Croatia SC1646623:3118
10Murdoch University Melville1637626:3116
11Subiaco16311226:3910
12Curtin University16231111:279