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Gwelup Croatia SC vs Murdoch University Melville

Australia Australia

WA State League Croatian Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Campbell B.
14' Event
Harris S.
18' Event
Gallagher S.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Gwelup Croatia SC and Murdoch University Melville finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gwelup Croatia SC
39%
Draws
31%
Murdoch University Melville
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Murdoch University Melville come out ahead of Gwelup Croatia SC on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwelup Croatia SC Murdoch University Melville
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Murdoch University Melville
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:3
May 17, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Murdoch University Melville
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Murdoch University Melville
2:6
Jun 15, 2024 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilkinson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gallagher S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwelup Croatia SC 29 / 100
Murdoch University Melville 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwelup Croatia SC Murdoch University Melville

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GWE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murdoch University Melville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Gwelup Croatia SC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Gwelup Croatia SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gwelup Croatia SC VS Murdoch University Melville
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena16113238:1636
2UWA Nedlands16112338:1935
3Mandurah City1692538:2829
4Joondalup City1691628:2328
5Kingsley Westside1681726:2225
6Inglewood Utd1673614:1724
7Quinns1663721:3121
8Cockburn City1654728:3319
9Gwelup Croatia SC1646623:3118
10Murdoch University Melville1637626:3116
11Subiaco16311226:3910
12Curtin University16231111:279