Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gwelup Croatia SC vs UWA Nedlands

Australia Australia

WA State League Croatian Sports Centre
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mba J.
90' Event
Nohar L.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Gwelup Croatia SC and UWA Nedlands finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gwelup Croatia SC
40%
Draws
29%
UWA Nedlands
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • UWA Nedlands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gwelup Croatia SC UWA Nedlands
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:0
Mar 28, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs UWA Nedlands
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
UWA Nedlands vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Gwelup Croatia SC
4:0
Apr 5, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs UWA Nedlands
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gwelup Croatia SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mba J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Nohar L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gwelup Croatia SC 30 / 100
UWA Nedlands 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gwelup Croatia SC UWA Nedlands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gwelup Croatia SC scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

UWA Nedlands has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Gwelup Croatia SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gwelup Croatia SC VS UWA Nedlands
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena17123240:1739
2UWA Nedlands17112439:2235
3Mandurah City17102542:3132
4Joondalup City17101631:2531
5Inglewood Utd1783617:1827
6Kingsley Westside1781827:2425
7Gwelup Croatia SC1756625:3121
8Quinns1763822:3321
9Cockburn City1754828:3519
10Murdoch University Melville1737728:3416
11Subiaco17411228:4013
12Curtin University17231214:319