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Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Gyeongju Civic Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Gyeongju KHNP play Yeoju Citizen in the K3 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gyeongju KHNP averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Yeoju Citizen averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Gyeongju KHNP won 1, Yeoju Citizen won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Gyeongju KHNP and 1.19 for Yeoju Citizen. This points to a Yeoju Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gyeongju KHNP
32%
Draws
35%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Yeoju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Gyeongju KHNP picked up more points recently compared to Yeoju Citizen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Gyeongju KHNP Clean Sheet 20%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongju KHNP Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 K3 League
Gyeongju KHNP vs Yeoju Citizen
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Gyeongju KHNP
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongju KHNP 34 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongju KHNP Yeoju Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yeoju Citizen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gyeongju KHNP attacking → ← attacking Yeoju Citizen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyeongju KHNP scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Yeoju Citizen let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Gyeongju KHNP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Yeoju Citizen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 39
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Siheung Citizen16124024:1240
2Pocheon16104229:1434
3Daejeon Korail1694327:1131
4Busan Kyotong1676324:1327
5Changwon1666417:1524
6Dangjin Citizen1663726:2521
7Yeoju Citizen1656520:2121
8Gangneung1654714:2419
9Chuncheon1644829:2816
10Gyeongju KHNP1637622:2416
11Ulsan Citizen1644816:1916
12Yangpyeong1627715:2713
13Mokpo1619612:2412
14Jeonbuk 21616917:359