Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gyeongnam vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Changwon Football Centre Stadium, Changwon
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cristian Renato
Assist: Gabriel Honorio
14'
Jang Ho-Ik
35' Event
Son Ho-Jun
Assist: Won Ki-Jong

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Gyeongnam and Busan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gyeongnam
20%
Draws
38%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gyeongnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Gyeongnam haven't matched Busan's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gyeongnam taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gyeongnam Clean Sheet 11%
Busan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongnam Busan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 K League 2
Gyeongnam vs Busan
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Gyeongnam
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 K League 2
Gyeongnam vs Busan
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Gyeongnam
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 K League 2
Busan vs Gyeongnam
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Ho-Jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristian Renato
1 Goals
Assists Leader Son Hwi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongnam 40 / 100
Busan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongnam Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gyeongnam's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Busan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Gyeongnam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongnam VS Busan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongnam

(Home)
19 Jul
Gyeongnam
5 : 0
Ansan Greeners
15 Jul
Gyeongnam
0 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
12 Jul
Chungnam Asan
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
05 Jul
Gyeongnam
2 : 1
Cheonan City
06 Jun
Gyeongnam
2 : 2
Yongin FC
Page 1 of 6

Busan

(Away)
18 Jul
Seongnam
1 : 0
Busan
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
12 Jul
Busan
2 : 0
Gimpo FC
05 Jul
Jeonnam
3 : 3
Busan
05 Jun
Busan
2 : 2
Chungnam Asan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan17113335:2136
2Suwon Bluewings17103422:1433
3Daegu1795336:2332
4Suwon FC1786336:2330
5Seoul E-Land1793530:2130
6Hwaseong1784526:1928
7Gimpo FC1767420:1925
8Chungnam Asan1766524:2024
9Gyeongnam1765625:2523
10Seongnam1748517:1820
11Cheonan City1747619:2019
12Paju Frontier1753917:2218
13Yongin FC1738620:2617
14Cheongju17211420:2717
15Ansan Greeners17421117:3414
16Jeonnam1726919:3112
17Gimhae16231113:339
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)