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Gyeongnam vs Hwaseong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Changwon Football Centre Stadium, Changwon
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gyeongnam host Hwaseong in the K League 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Gyeongnam at 1.14 goals for, 1.1 against; Hwaseong at 1.67 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Gyeongnam have won 1 to Hwaseong's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.69 - 0.76) back Hwaseong to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gyeongnam
35%
Draws
25%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gyeongnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hwaseong lately — more wins on the board than Gyeongnam.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gyeongnam Clean Sheet 20%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongnam Hwaseong
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 K League 2
Gyeongnam vs Hwaseong
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Gyeongnam
1:1
Jul 3, 2019 Korean Cup
Gyeongnam vs Hwaseong
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongnam 31 / 100
Hwaseong 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongnam Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyeongnam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gyeongnam scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Hwaseong let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Gyeongnam went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongnam VS Hwaseong
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongnam

(Home)
17 Oct
Gyeongnam
0 : 0
Chungnam Asan
10 Oct
Cheonan City
1 : 0
Gyeongnam
20 Sept
Yongin FC
0 : 0
Gyeongnam
13 Sept
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Seongnam
29 Aug
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Paju Frontier
Page 1 of 6

Hwaseong

(Away)
18 Oct
Suwon Bluewings
3 : 2
Hwaseong
09 Oct
Suwon FC
1 : 0
Hwaseong
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 27 18 5 4 46:23 59
2 Suwon FC 27 15 9 3 53:30 54
3 Seoul E-Land 28 16 6 6 52:32 54
4 Daegu 27 14 7 6 51:36 49
5 Busan 28 13 6 9 44:36 45
6 Hwaseong 28 12 8 8 43:31 44
7 Gimpo FC 27 9 11 7 35:32 38
8 Chungnam Asan 27 9 9 9 35:32 36
9 Gyeongnam 27 8 11 8 31:31 35
10 Cheongju 28 6 14 8 35:45 32
11 Seongnam 27 7 10 10 30:35 31
12 Paju Frontier 27 8 6 13 26:33 30
13 Yongin FC 27 5 12 10 32:41 27
14 Cheonan City 27 5 11 11 31:37 26
15 Ansan Greeners 28 7 4 17 32:53 25
16 Jeonnam 27 5 9 13 31:46 24
17 Gimhae 27 2 8 17 22:56 14
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)