Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gyeongnam vs Paju Frontier

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Changwon Football Centre Stadium, Changwon
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Cho Sang-Jun In: Bae Hyun-Seo
Out: Cho Sang-Jun
46'
Sub
Lee Min-Ki In: Lee Taek-Geun
Out: Lee Min-Ki
46'
Sub
Ahn June Hyuk In: Walterson Silva
Out: Ahn June Hyuk

AI Match Summary

Gyeongnam in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gyeongnam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gyeongnam
35%
Draws
31%
Paju Frontier
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Paju Frontier have won more games recently than Gyeongnam.
  • Gyeongnam are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gyeongnam here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gyeongnam Clean Sheet 20%
Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gyeongnam Paju Frontier
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 K League 2
Gyeongnam vs Paju Frontier
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 K League 2
Paju Frontier vs Gyeongnam
2:3
Mar 23, 2024 Korean Cup
Paju Frontier vs Gyeongnam
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gyeongnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyeon-oh
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paju Frontier Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gyeongnam 42 / 100
Paju Frontier 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gyeongnam Paju Frontier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gyeongnam remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Gyeongnam scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Paju Frontier's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gyeongnam VS Paju Frontier
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gyeongnam

(Home)
20 Sept
Yongin FC
0 : 0
Gyeongnam
13 Sept
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Seongnam
29 Aug
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Paju Frontier
23 Aug
Cheongju
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
15 Aug
Gimhae
1 : 1
Gyeongnam
Page 1 of 6

Paju Frontier

(Away)
20 Sept
Gimhae
0 : 2
Paju Frontier
04 Sept
Paju Frontier
0 : 0
Daegu
29 Aug
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Paju Frontier
23 Aug
Seoul E-Land
1 : 1
Paju Frontier
16 Aug
Paju Frontier
2 : 1
Seongnam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)