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Gzira vs Zabbar Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Gzira Logo

Gzira

1 - 1
FT
Zabbar Logo

Zabbar

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Xuereb D.
52'
Micallef J.
58'
Sub
Agius N. In: Vinicius Paiva
Out: Agius N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Gzira
30%
Draws
58%
Zabbar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zabbar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gzira have won more games recently than Zabbar.
  • Model gives Zabbar a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gzira Clean Sheet 15%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gzira Zabbar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.09 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Zabbar
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Zabbar
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Zabbar
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Zabbar vs Gzira
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Premier League
Zabbar vs Gzira
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Xuereb D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zabbar Compare

Top Goalscorer Majok A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gzira 15 / 100
Zabbar 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gzira Zabbar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabbar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gzira's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Zabbar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Gzira went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gzira VS Zabbar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gzira

(Home)
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Balzan FC
2 : 1
Gzira
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3
Valletta
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0
Gzira
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Zabbar

(Away)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floriana 11 7 4 0 20:7 25
2 Hamrun 11 6 4 1 16:4 22
3 Marsaxlokk 11 5 4 2 12:12 19
4 Naxxar Lions 11 5 3 3 20:18 18
5 Valletta 11 4 5 2 16:7 17
6 Gzira 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
7 Sliema 11 4 4 3 10:11 16
8 Birkirkara 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
9 Hibernians 11 3 2 6 11:17 11
10 Zabbar 11 2 4 5 13:15 10
11 Tarxien 11 1 3 7 9:21 6
12 Mosta FC 11 1 1 9 7:24 4
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Second stage - Play Out)