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H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Toto Turner Stadium, Be'er Sheva
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

H. Beer Sheva host Hapoel Jerusalem in the Ligat ha'Al. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: H. Beer Sheva at 1.63 goals for, 1.63 against; Hapoel Jerusalem at 1.21 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, H. Beer Sheva have won 5 to Hapoel Jerusalem's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.06, favoring H. Beer Sheva. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
H. Beer Sheva
30%
Draws
33%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: H. Beer Sheva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • H. Beer Sheva have won more games recently than Hapoel Jerusalem.
  • H. Beer Sheva are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • H. Beer Sheva have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric H. Beer Sheva Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 State Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:1
Dec 31, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
4:1
Sep 14, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs H. Beer Sheva
1:5
Jan 19, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs H. Beer Sheva
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 40 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
H. Beer Sheva Hapoel Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Beer Sheva found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Jerusalem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H. Beer Sheva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

H. Beer Sheva VS Hapoel Jerusalem
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

H. Beer Sheva

(Home)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)