Sport Picks

Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Toto Turner Stadium

H. Beer Sheva

3 - 0

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Zlatanovic I.

Assist: Ganah A. C.

38'

Rotman I.

40'

Lopes H.

Assist: Zlatanovic I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between H. Beer Sheva and Hapoel Petah Tikva finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward H. Beer Sheva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

H. Beer Sheva

39%

Draws

30%

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

H. Beer Sheva carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 19%

Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	H. Beer Sheva	Hapoel Petah Tikva
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	16	10
Draws	6	6
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	1.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs H. Beer Sheva

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

2:4

Apr 18, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Apr 4, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Dec 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs H. Beer Sheva

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Apr 3, 2024 State Cup

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs H. Beer Sheva

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Zlatanovic I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lopes H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 32 / 100

Hapoel Petah Tikva 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

H. Beer Sheva Hapoel Petah Tikva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Beer Sheva scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Hapoel Petah Tikva has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

H. Beer Sheva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

H. Beer Sheva VS Hapoel Petah Tikva

1.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	H. Beer Sheva	36	24	7	5	79:38	79
2	Beitar Jerusalem	36	22	10	4	78:40	76
3	Maccabi Tel Aviv	36	19	9	8	72:46	66
4	Hapoel Tel Aviv	36	18	8	10	55:35	60
5	Maccabi Haifa	36	15	10	11	66:47	55
6	Hapoel Petah Tikva	36	9	13	14	48:57	40