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H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Toto Turner Stadium, Be'er Sheva
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

H. Beer Sheva host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat ha'Al. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: H. Beer Sheva at 1.71 goals for, 1.59 against; Hapoel Tel Aviv at 1.58 for, 0.91 against. Past meetings favor H. Beer Sheva slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.00, favoring Hapoel Tel Aviv. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
H. Beer Sheva
15%
Draws
53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric H. Beer Sheva Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 17 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.71 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
0:2
May 2, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:0
Jan 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Toto Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 10 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
H. Beer Sheva Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Beer Sheva scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: H. Beer Sheva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

H. Beer Sheva VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

H. Beer Sheva

(Home)
26 Oct
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 5
H. Beer Sheva
22 Oct
Royale Union SG
4 : 0
H. Beer Sheva
18 Oct
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Oct
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
10 Oct
Ironi Tiberias
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
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Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
29 Oct
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
24 Oct
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
17 Oct
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
10 Oct
Shmona
1 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 6 2 0 24:8 20
2 Hapoel Tel Aviv 8 6 1 1 18:5 19
3 H. Beer Sheva 8 6 1 1 17:10 19
4 Maccabi Haifa 8 6 0 2 20:14 18
5 Beitar Jerusalem 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
6 Sakhnin 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
7 Netanya 8 2 4 2 11:7 10
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 8 3 0 5 12:16 9
9 Hapoel Haifa 8 2 3 3 11:15 9
10 Hapoel Jerusalem 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 8 2 0 6 7:15 6
12 Hapoel Petah Tikva 8 1 1 6 2:14 4
13 Shmona 8 1 0 7 6:16 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 8 2 2 4 8:12 2
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)