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H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Super Cup Toto Turner Stadium, Be'er Sheva
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Abu Farkhi S.
Assist: Jehezkel S.
15' Event
Kangwa K.
Assist: Davidzada O.
18'
Peretz D.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Tel Aviv in this Super Cup tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
H. Beer Sheva
28%
Draws
50%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • H. Beer Sheva average 2.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Maccabi Tel Aviv's 1.5.
  • Model gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Tel Aviv, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 14%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric H. Beer Sheva Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Super Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:3
May 26, 2026 State Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:2
May 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
4:2
Apr 28, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangwa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Farkhi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peretz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 23 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
H. Beer Sheva Maccabi Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Beer Sheva's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: H. Beer Sheva stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

H. Beer Sheva VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

H. Beer Sheva

(Home)
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
07 Jul
Legia
3 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
05 Jul
Omonia
2 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
01 Jul
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3
H. Beer Sheva
26 May
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Maccabi Tel Aviv

(Away)
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
03 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
1 : 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
30 Jun
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 0
Alashkert
26 May
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3