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H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Super Cup Toto Turner Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Abu Farhi S.
Assist: Jehezkel S.
15' Event
Kangwa K.
Assist: Davidzada O.
18'
Peretz D.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Tel Aviv in this Super Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
H. Beer Sheva
28%
Draws
50%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv have won more games recently than H. Beer Sheva.
  • Model gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Super Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 14%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric H. Beer Sheva Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Super Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:3
May 26, 2026 State Cup
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:2
May 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
4:2
Apr 28, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kangwa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Farhi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peretz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 23 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
H. Beer Sheva Maccabi Tel Aviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: H. Beer Sheva scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Maccabi Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: H. Beer Sheva stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

H. Beer Sheva VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3