Sport Picks

Stadium Background

H. Beer Sheva vs Shmona

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Toto Turner Stadium, Be'er Sheva
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

H. Beer Sheva host Shmona in the Ligat ha'Al. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Shmona have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while H. Beer Sheva have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.97. Past meetings favor H. Beer Sheva slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.63 - 1.50) back H. Beer Sheva to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
H. Beer Sheva
15%
Draws
26%
Shmona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: H. Beer Sheva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to H. Beer Sheva lately — more wins on the board than Shmona.
  • Win probability leans H. Beer Sheva's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors H. Beer Sheva here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 16%
Shmona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric H. Beer Sheva Shmona
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 22 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Shmona
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs H. Beer Sheva
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Shmona
5:1
Aug 26, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs H. Beer Sheva
0:1
Mar 12, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Shmona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 75 / 100
Shmona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
H. Beer Sheva Shmona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Beer Sheva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Beer Sheva scored in 95% of their last 37 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Shmona let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H. Beer Sheva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

H. Beer Sheva VS Shmona
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

H. Beer Sheva

(Home)
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
29 Aug
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
25 Aug
Sabah Baku
5 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
Page 1 of 8

Shmona

(Away)
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
16 Aug
Shmona
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 4 4 0 0 16:5 12
2 Maccabi Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 H. Beer Sheva 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
5 Hapoel Haifa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
6 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
7 Beitar Jerusalem 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
8 Netanya 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
9 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
10 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Shmona 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
13 Ironi Tiberias 4 2 1 1 5:5 1
14 Sakhnin 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)