Sport Picks

Israel

State Cup Toto Turner Stadium, Be'er Sheva

H. Beer Sheva

Thu, Apr 9, 2026

3 - 2

04:30 PM

Yehuda

Our Tip

Match Events

East J.

Assist: Levy R.

12'

Levy R.

26'

Sub

Miguel Vitor In: Blorian O.

Out: Miguel Vitor

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

H. Beer Sheva

30%

Draws

43%

Yehuda

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yehuda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

Yehuda haven't matched H. Beer Sheva's recent run of results.
Model gives Yehuda a 43% chance of winning this.
H. Beer Sheva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor H. Beer Sheva, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
H. Beer Sheva have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 12%

Yehuda Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	H. Beer Sheva	Yehuda
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	19	17
Draws	5	13
Losses	9	2
Goals Scored	1.91	1.72
Goals Conceded	1.58	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.90	1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 State Cup

H. Beer Sheva vs Yehuda

3:2

Mar 20, 2021 Ligat ha'Al

H. Beer Sheva vs Yehuda

2:0

Dec 27, 2020 Ligat ha'Al

Yehuda vs H. Beer Sheva

0:2

Jun 10, 2020 State Cup

H. Beer Sheva vs Yehuda

2:1

Feb 15, 2020 Ligat ha'Al

Yehuda vs H. Beer Sheva

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer East J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Levy R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.69

Avg xA / game 0.45

Yehuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Gissin N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ratner A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.57

Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Beer Sheva 10 / 100

Yehuda 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

H. Beer Sheva Yehuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yehuda Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H. Beer Sheva's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: H. Beer Sheva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Yehuda let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

H. Beer Sheva VS Yehuda

1.38 Goals Scored 1.57

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.43

88% Over 1.5 57%

63% Over 2.5 43%

38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

H. Beer Sheva

(Home)

07 Sept

H. Beer Sheva

1 : 4

Maccabi Tel Aviv

02 Sept

H. Beer Sheva

2 : 2

Hapoel Haifa

29 Aug

Hapoel Ramat Gan

1 : 2

H. Beer Sheva

25 Aug

Sabah Baku

5 : 2

H. Beer Sheva

19 Aug

H. Beer Sheva

2 : 1

Sabah Baku

Page 1 of 7

Yehuda

(Away)

07 Sept

Yehuda

0 : 0

H. Ironi Rishon

31 Aug

Hapoel Akko

0 : 3

Yehuda

23 Aug

Yehuda

3 : 1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

18 Aug

Maccabi Bnei Raina

1 : 4

Yehuda

20 Jul

Hapoel Petah Tikva

1 : 1

Yehuda

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Nes Tziona 1

Hapoel Karmiel 2

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera -

TBD -

Hapoel Sderot FC 2

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7

FC Beer Sheva 0

TBD -

Kiryat Yam -

Beitar Haifa 0

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5

TBD -

Hapoel Ramat Gan -

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula -

TBD -

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya -

TBD -

Hapoel Akko -

Kfar Saba 1928 2

Maccabi Yavne 0

TBD -

H. Ironi Rishon -

Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1

Bnei Jaffa 4

Jerusalem FC 6

Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 5

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1

TBD -

H. Raanana -

Kiryat Haim 1

Hapoel Yarka 2

Kfar Kama 0

Kiryat Gat 1

Ironi Modiin -

TBD -

M. Nazareth 2

Beitar Ramat Gan 1

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0

Shimshon Tel Aviv 2

TBD -

MS Kafr Qasim -

Shikun Hamizrah 0

Holon Yermiyahu 5

TBD -

Nof Hagalil -

Ironi Or Yehuda 1

FC Dimona 3

TBD -

Maccabi Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/32-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Hapoel Karmiel 4

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera 3

Hapoel Sderot FC 4

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2

Kiryat Yam 1

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2

Hapoel Ramat Gan 3

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya 2

Hapoel Akko 0

Kfar Saba 1928 1

H. Ironi Rishon 0

Bnei Jaffa 1

Jerusalem FC 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 0

H. Raanana 1

Hapoel Yarka 0

Kiryat Gat 4

Ironi Modiin 1

M. Nazareth 3

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Shimshon Tel Aviv 0

MS Kafr Qasim 2

Holon Yermiyahu 1

Nof Hagalil 0

FC Dimona 1

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/16-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 2

Hapoel Karmiel 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Sderot FC 1

Hapoel Jerusalem 2

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0

Hapoel Ramat Gan 2

Shmona 3

Ironi Tiberias 1

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1

M. Herzliya 4

Kfar Saba 1928 1

Bnei Jaffa 0

Netanya 6

Sakhnin 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

SC Ashdod 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Hapoel Haifa 0

H. Raanana 4

Kiryat Gat 3

M. Nazareth 1

Maccabi Haifa 8

MS Kafr Qasim 3

Holon Yermiyahu 1

FC Dimona 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 3

1/8-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Jerusalem 1

Shmona 0

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 1

M. Herzliya 0

Netanya 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

H. Raanana 0

Maccabi Haifa 1

MS Kafr Qasim 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 0

Quarter-finals

Maccabi Bnei Raina 0

H. Beer Sheva 3

Beitar Jerusalem 1

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Jaffa 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Maccabi Haifa 2

MS Kafr Qasim 0

Semi-finals

H. Beer Sheva 3

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

Maccabi Haifa 2

Final

H. Beer Sheva 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

H. Beer Sheva vs Yehuda

Israel

H. Beer Sheva

Yehuda

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Yehuda Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

H. Beer Sheva

Yehuda

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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