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H. Herzliya vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Pitigo D.
71' Event
Malka L.
74'
Baruch D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between H. Herzliya and Beitar Nordia Jerusalem finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward H. Herzliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
H. Herzliya
30%
Draws
0%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: H. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and H. Herzliya come out ahead of Beitar Nordia Jerusalem on wins alone.
  • Model gives H. Herzliya a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric H. Herzliya Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Matches Played 21 22
Wins 4 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.71 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
3:1
Mar 27, 2026 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs H. Herzliya
3:0
Jan 18, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1:1
Sep 17, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs H. Herzliya
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

H. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Malka L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Pitigo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

H. Herzliya 85 / 100
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
H. Herzliya Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Herzliya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.

H. Herzliya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Beitar Nordia Jerusalem has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

H. Herzliya VS Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

H. Herzliya

(Home)
08 Oct
H. Herzliya
0 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
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Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

(Away)
08 Oct
Holon Yermiyahu
5 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
23 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 0
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)