Sport Picks
H. Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu Prediction & H2H Stats
Israel
Liga Alef South 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Kodman A.
43'
43'
Marciano L.
66'
66'
Ben Ami M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Alef South 2025/2026 game between H. Herzliya and Holon Yermiyahu finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holon Yermiyahu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: H. Herzliya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Holon Yermiyahu come out ahead of H. Herzliya on wins alone.
- H. Herzliya are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 68%
Holon Yermiyahu Clean Sheet 22%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | H. Herzliya | Holon Yermiyahu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 23 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 13, 2026 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs H. Herzliya
0:0
Dec 1, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu
0:4
Mar 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
H. Herzliya vs Holon Yermiyahu
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs H. Herzliya
3:1
Apr 26, 2024 Liga Alef South
Holon Yermiyahu vs H. Herzliya
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
H. Herzliya Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Holon Yermiyahu Compare
Top Goalscorer Kodman A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marciano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
H. Herzliya 86 / 100
Holon Yermiyahu 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
H. Herzliya Holon Yermiyahu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick H. Herzliya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: H. Herzliya stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Holon Yermiyahu conceded in 65% of 23 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
H. Herzliya's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
Scoring Trends
H. Herzliya VS Holon Yermiyahu
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
H. Herzliya
(Home) 30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0 H. Herzliya
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0 Tzeirei Tira
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0 H. Herzliya
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2 H. Herzliya
Page 1 of 5
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0 Tzeirei Tira
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
20 Feb
H. Herzliya
1 : 1 Hapoel Marmorek
06 Feb
H. Herzliya
1 : 5 Jerusalem FC
23 Jan
H. Herzliya
1 : 1 Ramat Hasharon
Page 1 of 2
Holon Yermiyahu
(Away) 30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0 Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0 Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
0 : 0 Ramat Hasharon
Page 1 of 5
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
20 Feb
Maccabi Yavne
1 : 1 Holon Yermiyahu
05 Feb
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
16 Jan
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0 Holon Yermiyahu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kiryat Gat | 21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 53:18 | 55 |
| 2 | Jerusalem FC | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:29 | 37 |
| 3 | FC Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29:30 | 37 |
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27:27 | 35 |
| 6 | Tzeirei Tira | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33:24 | 33 |
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | 29 |
| 10 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30:33 | 24 |
| 11 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20:34 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17:20 | 23 |
| 13 | H. Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Ramat Hasharon | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:43 | 19 |
| 15 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37:35 | 16 |
| 16 | Beitar Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28:40 | 15 |
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
