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Ha Noi W vs Thai Nguyen W

Vietnam Vietnam

National League Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ha Noi W play Thai Nguyen W in the National League Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ha Noi W averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Thai Nguyen W averaged 1.85 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Ha Noi W won 1, Thai Nguyen W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Ha Noi W and 1.63 for Thai Nguyen W. This points to a Thai Nguyen W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ha Noi W
25%
Draws
38%
Thai Nguyen W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Thai Nguyen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ha Noi W picked up more points recently compared to Thai Nguyen W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ha Noi W Clean Sheet 14%
Thai Nguyen W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ha Noi W Thai Nguyen W
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 19 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.3 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Vietnamese Cup Women
Thai Nguyen W vs Ha Noi W
0:1
Oct 1, 2025 National League Women
Ha Noi W vs Thai Nguyen W
0:1
Sep 8, 2025 National League Women
Thai Nguyen W vs Ha Noi W
0:0
Jul 23, 2024 National League Women
Thai Nguyen W vs Ha Noi W
1:0
May 22, 2024 National League Women
Ha Noi W vs Thai Nguyen W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ha Noi W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Thai Nguyen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Thi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ha Noi W 36 / 100
Thai Nguyen W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ha Noi W Thai Nguyen W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Thai Nguyen W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ha Noi W attacking → ← attacking Thai Nguyen W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ha Noi W scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Thai Nguyen W let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Ha Noi W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Thai Nguyen W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 65
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ho Chi Minh W1063118:421
2Ha Noi W1054115:619
3TKS Viet Nam W1054112:519
4Thai Nguyen W1052313:917
5Phong Phu Ha Nam W101273:125
6Ho Chi Minh City 2 W100191:261