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Haarlem vs De Graafschap Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2009/2010
Fri, Mar 5, 2010
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haarlem host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie 2009/2010. Haarlem go into this one as the clear favorite. De Graafschap have shipped 2.35 goals a game lately, while Haarlem have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor De Graafschap slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2010, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.10 vs 1.49, favoring Haarlem. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Haarlem
25%
Draws
35%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Haarlem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to De Graafschap lately — more wins on the board than Haarlem.
  • Win probability leans Haarlem's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Haarlem Clean Sheet 16%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haarlem De Graafschap
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2010 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs De Graafschap
0:0
Nov 27, 2009 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Haarlem
0:0
Mar 16, 2007 Eerste Divisie
Haarlem vs De Graafschap
0:3
Aug 21, 2006 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Haarlem
3:1
Dec 9, 2005 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Haarlem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haarlem 66 / 100
De Graafschap 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haarlem De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haarlem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Haarlem's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Haarlem has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS De Graafschap
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Haarlem

(Home)
27 Jul
Sheffield Wed
2 : 3
Haarlem
27 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Haarlem

De Graafschap

(Away)
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 0
Den Bosch
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 De Graafschap 36 25 6 5 85:34 81
2 Cambuur 36 21 8 7 78:48 71
3 Excelsior 36 20 5 11 77:49 65
4 Zwolle 36 19 8 9 59:37 65
5 G.A. Eagles 36 18 9 9 53:33 63
6 Apeldoorn 36 16 9 11 63:52 55
7 Den Bosch 36 14 12 10 66:54 54
8 Helmond Sport 36 16 6 14 63:53 54
9 Veendam 36 14 11 11 57:48 52
10 Maastricht 36 14 7 15 59:67 49
11 Roosendaal 36 12 10 14 47:53 46
12 Eindhoven FC 36 13 7 16 63:81 46
13 Dordrecht 36 13 4 19 54:59 43
14 Almere City 36 11 7 18 40:65 40
15 FC Emmen 36 10 8 18 51:79 38
16 FC Volendam 36 8 11 17 61:81 35
17 Sittard 36 7 9 20 31:57 30
18 Telstar 36 7 8 21 45:65 29
19 TOP Oss 36 6 11 19 42:79 29
20 Haarlem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2009/2010 (Promotion)