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Habay La Neuve vs Virton

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Thomas V.
23' Event
Lamotte L.
64' Event
Mballa Amougou E.

AI Match Summary

Habay La Neuve in this National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Habay La Neuve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Habay La Neuve
22%
Draws
60%
Virton
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Habay La Neuve haven't matched Virton's recent run of results.
  • Virton are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Habay La Neuve Clean Sheet 14%
Virton Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Habay La Neuve Virton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Habay La Neuve
2:0
Mar 1, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Virton
3:1
Jan 31, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Habay La Neuve
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs Virton
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Habay La Neuve Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lamotte L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Mballa Amougou E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Habay La Neuve 19 / 100
Virton 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Habay La Neuve Virton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Habay La Neuve's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Virton conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Virton registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Habay La Neuve VS Virton
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Habay La Neuve

(Home)
10 May
Virton
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
03 May
Habay La Neuve
0 : 1
Renaissance Mons
25 Apr
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 1
Habay La Neuve
18 Apr
Tubize-Braine
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
12 Apr
Habay La Neuve
1 : 2
Meux
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Virton

(Away)
18 Jul
Bissen
0 : 2
Virton
15 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 1
Virton
11 Jul
Dudelange
4 : 0
Virton
10 May
Virton
2 : 0
Habay La Neuve
03 May
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 5
Virton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Virton1070318:1345
2Renaissance Mons1063119:843
3Tubize-Braine1044213:1140
4Meux1041515:1631
5Habay La Neuve103169:1528
6Union Rochefortoise1011812:2320
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