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Hacken vs Orgryte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Nordic Wellness Arena, Göteborg
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hacken host Orgryte in the Allsvenskan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hacken have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Orgryte's 1.18 scored and 2.11 conceded. Past meetings favor Hacken slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.38, favoring Hacken. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hacken
30%
Draws
23%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hacken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hacken come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hacken a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hacken Clean Sheet 17%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hacken Orgryte
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.69 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Hacken
4:3
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Hacken vs Orgryte
2:0
Jun 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Orgryte vs Hacken
2:2
Feb 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Hacken vs Orgryte
3:1
Mar 1, 2014 Svenska Cupen
Hacken vs Orgryte
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hacken 84 / 100
Orgryte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hacken Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hacken Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hacken scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Orgryte conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hacken stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hacken VS Orgryte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hacken

(Home)
02 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 1
Hacken
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
Page 1 of 6

Orgryte

(Away)
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)