Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hadley vs Carshalton

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Aldridge F.
30' Event
Stones I.
46' Event
Aldridge F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Hadley advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Hadley
15%
Draws
8%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hadley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Carshalton haven't matched Hadley's recent run of results.
  • Hadley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Hadley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hadley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hadley Clean Sheet 20%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hadley Carshalton
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 FA Trophy
Hadley vs Carshalton
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hadley Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldridge F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stones I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Carshalton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hadley 85 / 100
Carshalton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hadley Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hadley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hadley scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Carshalton let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Hadley has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carshalton
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hadley

(Home)
25 Oct
Tilbury
1 : 0
Hadley
04 Oct
Hadley
2 : 1
Dartford
20 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2
Ascot United
06 Sept
Ware
1 : 5
Hadley
07 Dec
Oxford City
2 : 1
Hadley
Page 1 of 6

Carshalton

(Away)
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
31 Aug
Three Bridges
3 : 2
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
Mossley AFC 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley 2
Dunston 0
Vauxhall 1
Newton Aycliffe 2
Stalybridge 1
Ossett United 2
Witton Albion 1
Bradford PA 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Liversedge 1
Avro 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Wythenshawe FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Bridlington Town 0
Trafford 1
Consett 1
Atherton Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Garforth 0
Wythenshawe Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Brighouse Town 1
Clitheroe 2
Heaton Stannington 1
North Ferriby FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 6
Shepshed 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Newcastle Town 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Belper Town 2
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Sheffield FC 2
Loughborough Students 3
Worcester 1
Hinckley LR 4
Hednesford 4
Quorn 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Chasetown 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Bishop Auckland 1
Nantwich 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club Warwick 2
Hanley Town 3
Bedworth United 1
Sherwood Colliery 3
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Stafford 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town 0
Coleshill Town 2
Rugby 0
Carlton Town 1
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
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Alvechurch -
Sheppey United 2
Ramsgate 3
Raynes Park Vale 4
Beckenham Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walthamstow FC 1
Real Bedford 2
Leighton Town 1
Stotfold 0
Sittingbourne 2
Sutton Common Rovers 0
Kingstonian 3
Eastbourne Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 6
Phoenix Sports 0
Croydon Athletic 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Westfield 4
Metropolitan Police 0
Steyning Town 0
Thame United 5
Deal Town 0
Ashford United 1
Hartley Wintney 2
East Grinstead Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Basildon 2
Enfield FC 2
Biggleswade FC 0
Wroxham 1
Aylesbury United 0
Redbridge 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Tilbury 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Sudbury -
TBD -
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Ware 2
Newmarket 3
Cambridge City 1
Kings Langley 0
Sevenoaks 3
Harrow Borough 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Leatherhead 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 5
Merstham 0
Hanworth Villa 0
Margate 5
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Heybridge 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Wellingborough 2
Corby 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Farnham 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Badshot Lea 0
Broadbridge Heath 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Mildenhall 2
Brightlingsea 4
Brentwood 3
FC Witham Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 3
Sporting Bengal 2
Southall FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Leverstock Green 1
Bury Town 0
Barton 2
Waltham Abbey 1
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges 2
Hythe 1
Herne Bay 1
Northwood 0
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 2
Grays 1
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Gorleston 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bashley 0
Mousehole 4
Falmouth Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Westbury United 0
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Yate 3
Bideford 2
Malvern Town 0
Helston Athletic 1
Melksham 2
Willand Rovers 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
Larkhall 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
North Leigh 1
Exmouth Town 4
Kidlington 1
Horndean 3
Binfield 0
Semi-finals
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 4
Pontefract Collieries 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Ossett United 2
Bradford PA 1
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Avro 0
FC Congleton Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Trafford 3
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
Ashton United -
Wythenshawe Town 2
Stocksbridge 3
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Belper Town 2
Loughborough Students 1
Hinckley LR 2
Hednesford 1
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Khalsa 4
Nantwich 3
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Hanley Town 1
Sherwood Colliery 0
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 3
Carlton Town 2
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Ramsgate 2
Raynes Park Vale 1
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
Real Bedford 4
Leighton Town 0
Sittingbourne 4
Kingstonian 1
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 2
Croydon Athletic 1
Westfield 1
Thame United 3
Ashford United 2
Hartley Wintney 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town 4
Tilbury 0
Sudbury -
TBD -
Newmarket 1
Cambridge City 3
Sevenoaks 1
Leatherhead 2
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Margate 0
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Corby 2
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Flackwell Heath 6
Broadbridge Heath 1
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Brightlingsea 1
Brentwood 2
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 1
Burgess Hill 0
Leverstock Green 3
Barton 4
Chichester City -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Herne Bay 3
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 4
Ipswich Wanderers 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Mousehole 3
Falmouth Town 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Yate 2
Bideford 0
Melksham 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 1
Horndean 2
Final
Workington 3
Morpeth 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Stockton 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Macclesfield 3
Whitby 0
Newton Aycliffe 1
Ossett United 2
Prescot Cables 0
FC Congleton Town 1
Hyde 0
Trafford 2
Ashton United 5
Stocksbridge 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Guiseley 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Hebburn Town 0
United of Manchester 3
Clitheroe 2
Lancaster 0
Stourbridge 3
Matlock 0
Kettering 0
Gainsborough 2
Stamford 1
Anstey Nomads 5
Belper Town 3
Hinckley LR 1
Chasetown 1
Bromsgrove 0
Sporting Khalsa 5
Harborough 2
Redditch 0
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 3
Hanley Town 2
Barwell 1
Stratford 0
Telford 2
Cleethorpes 1
Ilkeston 2
Coleshill Town 3
Worksop 2
St Ives Town 1
Leek Town 0
Mickleover 1
Spalding United 1
Alvechurch 2
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 3
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Real Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 2
Bognor Regis 1
Potters 2
Whitehawk 1
Uxbridge 3
Thame United 2
Ashford United 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Haringey Borough 0
Hanwell Town 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Sudbury 0
Cambridge City 1
Leatherhead 1
Hastings 2
Folkestone 8
Ascot United 1
Lewes 6
Bracknell Town 3
Leiston 1
Horsham FC 2
Bedford 1
Hendon 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Canvey Island 2
Flackwell Heath 1
Stortford 2
Dover Ath. 3
Cheshunt 0
Brentwood 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lowestoft 2
Royston Town 3
Marlow 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Littlehampton 0
Barton 1
Chichester City 2
Herne Bay 0
Chertsey Town 2
Billericay 1
Chatham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Dartford 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 1
Hitchin 0
Hadley 3
Carshalton 1
Mousehole 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gloucester City 3
Wimborne 2
Frome Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 1
Basingstoke 0
AFC Totton 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hungerford 3
Sholing 1
Tiverton 0
Dorchester 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Banbury 2
Poole Town 1
Gosport Borough 2
Yate 3
Melksham 0
Winchester City 5
Swindon Supermarine 2
Tavistock 3
Horndean 1