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Hafia vs Horoya

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Hafia Logo

Hafia

1 - 2
FT
Horoya Logo

Horoya

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Horoya in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Horoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Hafia
30%
Draws
52%
Horoya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Horoya have won more games recently than Hafia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hafia Clean Sheet 20%
Horoya Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hafia Horoya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.23 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Hafia
2:1
Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Hafia vs Horoya
1:2
Jun 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Hafia vs Horoya
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Hafia
0:1
May 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Horoya vs Hafia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hafia 32 / 100
Horoya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hafia Horoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hafia scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Horoya let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Hafia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hafia VS Horoya
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hafia

(Home)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
22 Apr
Hafia
1 : 1
ASFAG
17 Apr
Hafia
0 : 0
RCC Kamsar
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 6

Horoya

(Away)
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1
Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0
Horoya
22 Apr
CI Kamsar
3 : 0
Horoya
17 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Wakriya AC
11 Apr
Horoya
2 : 1
Hafia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)